Social Protection Caseloads and Invisible Children: A Working Analysis of Targeting Gaps

Programme registries often inherit gaps from civil registration and school enrolment. This paper models how documentation requirements and recertification schedules create systematic under-coverage of children at risk of separation from parental care.

Implications for CVI scoring

We propose treating social-protection contact as a distinct visibility signal, weighted by benefit type and refresh frequency, rather than as a simple binary enrolment flag.